Preoperative risk prediction tools that predict morbidity risk in adults undergoing surgery: An Evidence Review

Background / Aim of Rapid Evidence Map 

Risk prediction tools play a critical role in preoperative care by estimating the likelihood of adverse outcomes, including mortality, morbidity, and postoperative complications. In low-risk surgical settings such as surgical hubs, which typically focus on high-volume, low-complexity procedures, accurate risk prediction is particularly valuable. The aim of this review was to identify and map the evidence for 14 validated pre-operative surgical risk prediction tools currently used in Wales within any elective, or non-emergency surgical setting, and to provide a more in-depth look at the findings for a selection of tools deemed to be the most applicable on a population level to the context of surgical hubs. The initial list of prediction tools used in Wales was identified by the stakeholders, who also informed the selection of tools for a more-in depth summary based on the findings of the initial evidence map.   

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